Big Ideas Math Algebra 1, 2015
BI
Big Ideas Math Algebra 1, 2015 View details
5. Analyzing Lines of Fit
Continue to next subchapter

Exercise 3 Page 205

Substitute 12 for x.

≈729 490 people

Practice makes perfect

The attendance y (in thousands) at the amusement park from 2005 to 2014 is given as follows.

Year, 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Attendance, y 850 845 828 798 800 792 785 781 775 760

To find a line of fit for the data we will use the linear regression analysis tool in our calculator.

Finding Line of Fit

First we enter the data points in the calculator. Ppress the STAT button, and then select the option Edit. We then enter the data points' x-values in list L_1, and the corresponding y-values in L_2.
The window in the calculator, which shows Stat and then Edit
Calculator that shows two lists where values have been entered

After we have entered the values, we press the STAT button. Then we select CALC and the option LinReg(ax+b). The calculator then makes a linear regression of the data.

Counter that displays the list of CALC and where you have chosen LinReg
Illustration of the LinReg(ax+b) window on the calculator

That gives us the following line of best fit for the data. y=-9.58788x+844.545

Approximating Attendance in 2017

We are asked to use this model to extrapolate what the approximate attendance levels will be in the year 2017. Recall that that x=0 corresponds to the year 2005. Let's find the value of x that corresponds to 2017. 2017-2005= 12 Now we can substitute 12 for x into the equation of the line of best fit.
y=-9.58788x+844.545
y=-9.58788( 12)+844.545
y=-115.05456+844.545
y=729.49044
We are also told that the y values are measured in thousands. Therefore, to express the predicted attendance, we need to multiply our answer by 1000.
729.49044
729 490.44
729 490
If the trends remain constant, the estimated attendance at the amusement park in 2017 will be approximately 729 490 people.