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| 9 Theory slides |
| 8 Exercises - Grade E - A |
| Each lesson is meant to take 1-2 classroom sessions |
Here are a few recommended readings before getting started with this lesson.
Diego is playing cards using a standard deck.
A or B. Find the probability that the event
A or Boccurs. Round the probability to one decimal place.
Which are the favorable outcomes for the event A or B?
To find the probability of these events, the number of favorable outcomes of each event is divided by the total number of outcomes. Since it is known that there are six possible outcomes for rolling a die, the probabilities can be found by identifying the favorable outcomes for the events.
Event | Favorable Outcomes | Probability |
---|---|---|
A | 1, 2 | 62=31 |
B | 5, 6 | 62=31 |
A diagram can be used to represent the favorable outcomes for the event A or B
— the outcomes that satisfy either A or B.
A or Bis 4. To find the probability that the event
A or Boccurs, the number of favorable outcomes of this event is divided by the number of possible outcomes.
ba=b/2a/2
Calculate quotient
Round to 1 decimal place(s)
A or Bis equal to the sum of the probabilities of the events A and B.
Ramsha took a survey of her school's cinema club members just to get a sense of their taste before she considers joining. She asked 50 members two questions about movie genres: First, do they like classics? And second, do they like romances? The results are displayed in a two-way frequency table.
Likes Classics | Does Not Like Classics | |
---|---|---|
Likes Romances | 8 | 11 |
Does Not Like Romances | 20 | 11 |
What can be done about the value for members that like both classics and romances?
To find the probability that a randomly chosen club member likes classics or romances, it is important to identify the number those who like classics and the number of those who like romances. To do so, a convenient method is to find the marginal frequencies with the aid of a two-way table. The marginal frequencies show the answers of a single question.
Likes Classics | Does Not Like Classics | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Likes Romances | 8 | 11 | 198+11= |
Does Not Like Romances | 20 | 11 | 3120+11= |
Total | 288+20= | 2211+11= | 50 |
Referencing the table, Ramsha wrote the following data on her notepad.
Rewrite 39 as 28+19−8
Write as a sum of fractions
Substitute values
For two mutually exclusive events A and B, the probability that A or B occur in one trial is the sum of the individual probability of each event.
For example, consider rolling a standard six-sided die. Let A be the event that an even number is rolled and B be the event that a prime number is rolled.
Event | Outcome(s) | Probability |
---|---|---|
Even | 2, 4, 6 | P(A)=63=21 |
Prime | 2, 3, 5 | P(B)=63=21 |
Even and prime | 2 | P(A and B)=61 |
For mutually exclusive events, the Addition Rule of Probability is a postulate.
Therefore, no proof will be given for mutually exclusive events. Now, consider non-mutually exclusive events A and B.
Notation | Meaning |
---|---|
P(A)=a+c | The probability of A happening is a+c. |
P(B)=b+c | The probability of B happening is b+c. |
P(A∪B)=a+b+c | The probability of A happening or B happening is a+b+c. |
Identity Property of Addition
Rewrite 0 as c−c
Commutative Property of Addition
Associative Property of Addition
Substitute values
Consider the following probabilities for events A and B.
Use the formula for the Addition Rule of Probability.
Substitute values
Add and subtract terms
Use the Addition Rule of Probability to answer each question. Write each probability rounded to two decimal places.
As shown in the following diagram, A, B, and C are three overlapping events.
Write an expression for P(A or B or C).
P(A or B or C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C)−P(A and B) − P(B and C) − P(A and C) + P(A and B and C)
Use a Venn diagram to construct the expression.
Event | Favorable Outcomes | Probability |
---|---|---|
A | 2♣, 4♣, 6♣, 8♣, 10♣, 2♠, 4♠, 6♠, 8♠, 10♠, 2♢, 4♢, 6♢, 8♢, 10♢, 2♡, 4♡, 6♡, 8♡, 10♡ | 5220 |
B | A♣, 2♣, 3♣, 4♣, A♠, 2♠, 3♠, 4♠, A♢, 2♢, 3♢, 4♢, A♡, 2♡, 3♡, 4♡ | 5216 |
C | A♡, 2♡, 3♡, 4♡, 5♡, 6♡, 7♡, 8♡, 9♡, 10♡, J♡, Q♡, K♡ | 5213 |
A and B | 2♣, 4♣, 2♠, 4♠, 2♢, 4♢, 2♡, 4♡ | 528 |
A and C | 2♡, 4♡, 6♡, 8♡, 10♡ | 525 |
B and C | A♡, 2♡, 3♡, 4♡ | 524 |
A and B and C | 2♡, 4♡ | 522 |
Substitute values
Add fractions
ba=b/2a/2
Calculate quotient
Round to 1 decimal place(s)
Given that A and B are disjoint events, find P(A or B) in the following cases. Give an exact answer in its simplest form.
It is given that events A and B are disjoint. This means they are mutually exclusive events. To calculate the probability that either one of these events occur, we can use the Addition Rule of Probability. P(A or B) = P(A)+ P(B) - P(A ⋂ B) However, since the events are disjoint, P(A ⋂ B) = 0. Because of this, the equation simplifies to P(A or B) = P(A)+ P(B). Let's calculate this probability.
Therefore, the probability that either one of the given events occur is 0.4
Just as in Part A, we are required to find the probability that either A or B occurs. Since these events are disjoint, the Addition Rule of Probability states the following. P(A or B) = P(A)+ P(B) Let's calculate this probability.
Therefore, the probability that either one of the given events occur is 0.4.
As in previous parts, to find the required probability we can use the Addition Rule of Probability. P(A or B) = P(A)+ P(B) Let's calculate this probability.
Therefore, the probability that either one of the given events occur is 712.
Dylan is conducting an experiment to determine how plants grow when exposed to different light sources. He has grown 400 plants in the conditions indicated in the table below.
Plants exposed to infrared light | Plants exposed to ultraviolet light | Plants exposed to both infrared and ultraviolet light |
---|---|---|
150 | 150 | 50 |
What is the probability that a randomly selected plant had received either infrared or ultraviolet light? Answer with a fraction in its simplest form.
To find the probability that a randomly selected plant had received either infrared or ultraviolet light, we can use the Addition Rule of Probability. P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AandB) Notice that the probabilities appearing on the right-hand side of the formula can be calculated from the given information about the experiment's conditions. P(IR)&=150/400= 3/8 [1em] P(UV)&=150/400= 3/8 [1em] P(IR and UV)&=50/400= 1/8 With this information, we can calculate the probability that a plant had received either infrared or ultraviolet light.
Emily has set up a dart board and attached colored balloons to the board.
To calculate the probability that the balloon was either blue or orange, we can use the Addition Rule of Probability.
P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B) -P(A and B)
Because all balloons are a single color, the events hitting a blue balloon
and hitting an orange balloon
cannot happen at the same time. Therefore P(blue and orange)=0, and in this case the equation can be simplified.
P(blue or orange) =P(blue)+ P(orange)
From the diagram we see that there are 12 balloons on the board. Of these 12, 3 are orange and 3 are blue. With this information we can determine the probabilities we need.
P(blue)&=3/12= 1/4 [1em]
P(orange)&=3/12= 1/4
Now we can determine the probability of hitting either a blue or an orange balloon.
Therefore, the probability that the balloon was either blue or orange is 12.
To determine which of the given statements are correct, we can start by calculating the probability of the described events. Since the events involved are compound events, we can find their probability by using the Addition Rule of Probability. P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B) -P(A and B) Recall that if two events A and B are disjoint, then P(A and B)=0. We can use the following formulas, according to each case. Disjoint events P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B) [1em] Not disjoint events P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B) We will analyze each of the given statements one at a time.
In a standard deck of cards we have 52 cards. They are divided into four suits, with each suit having 13 cards. For example, the cards that are suit of clubs are shown below.
Notice that 3 of these cards are face cards.
Therefore, by considering all face cards for the 4 different suits we have a total of 3* 4= 12. It is important to mention that since 3 of the 12 face cards are clubs, picking a face card
and picking a club
are not disjoint events. Therefore, the Addition Rule of Probability requires using the following formula.
P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B)
Using the previous information, we can calculate the required probabilities.
P(club)&=13/52 [0.8em]
P(face card)&=12/52 [0.8em]
P(face card and club)&=3/52
Now we can determine the probability of picking either a face card or a club.
Therefore, the first statement is correct.
As explained in the previous part, there are 13 cards of each suit. Considering all 4 suits, there are 4 sevens, one of them is a spade. Therefore, picking a spade
and picking a seven
are not disjoint events. We will proceed in the same way as we did when calculating the probability of event ii.
P(spade)&=13/52 [1em]
P(seven)&=4/52 [1em]
P(spade and a seven)&=1/52
Now let's calculate the probability of picking either a spade or a seven.
Therefore, statement ii is not true.
Since there are no cards that are both diamond and heart, picking a diamond
and picking a heart
are disjoint events. In this case the Addition Rule of Probability reduces to the formula given below.
P(Aor B)=P(A)+P(B)
Recalling that there are 13 cards of each suit, we can calculate the probabilities that we will need.
P(diamond)&=13/52 [1em]
P(heart)&=13/52
Now we can calculate the probability of picking either a diamond or a heart.
Therefore, statement iii is true.
In the following Venn diagram, the outcomes for each event are represented using dots.
Recall that two events are disjoint or mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time. We can verify which events are not disjoint by looking at the Venn diagram. If two events have outcomes in an overlapping region, then they can happen at the same time.
We can see that A and C can happen at the same time, as they have two outcomes in their overlapping region. This is also true for the overlapping region of B and C. We also see that there are no common outcomes in the overlapping region between A and B. Therefore, A and B are the only pair of disjoint events, and thus i is the only true statement.
In Part A we found out that A and B are disjoint events. Therefore, we can calculate the probability that either A or B happens by using the Addition Rule of Probability. P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B) To calculate the different probabilities we need, we can divide the favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. The total number of possible outcomes is the number of dots in the diagram. There are 15 dots in total. Furthermore, there are 5 dots in A and 6 dots in B. P(A)&=5/15 [1em] P(B)&=6/15 Now we can calculate P(A or B).
As explained in previous parts, B and C are not disjoint events. Therefore, the Addition Rule of Probability requires using the following formula.
P(B or C)=P(B)+P(C)-P(BandC)
We already know that we have a total of 15 possible outcomes. Of these, 7 are in C, 6 are in B, and 2 are in the overlapping area between B and C. With this information we can determine the probabilities that we need.
P(B)&= 6/15 [0.9em]
P(C)&= 7/15 [0.9em]
P(B andC)&= 2/15
Now we can determine the probability that either B or C occurs.