Core Connections Integrated II, 2015
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Core Connections Integrated II, 2015 View details
2. Section 3.2
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Exercise 84 Page 184

If it is a fair game, the expected earnings should be $0.

Expected value per spin: $0.83
Is the game fair? No.

Practice makes perfect

The expected value from one spin depends on the probability of spinning each sector and their respective values. The probability of spinning a given sector is the ratio it occupies of the total spinner. We can find these ratios by dividing the sector angles by 360^(∘).

By calculating the product of each sector's probability and respective earnings, we get the expected value from that sector. If we add all of the sector's products, we get the expected earnings from one spin.

Event P Earnings P * Earnings Expected Earnings ($)
P($3) 1/3 3 1/3( 3) 1
P($5) 1/3 5 1/3( 5) 5/3
P(- $6) 1/4 - 6 1/4( - 6) - 6/4
By adding all of the expected earnings per sector, we can get the expected earnings per spin.
1+5/3+(- 6/4)
1+1.33333...+(- 1.5)
1+1.33333... -1.5
0.83333...
≈ 0.83
The expected earnings are $0.83, which means it's not a fair game.