We want to find the that a student who attends the football game also attends the dance. To do so, we will define two .
- A: a student attends the football game
- B: a student attends the dance
The probability that an event will occur, given that another event has already occurred, is called a . Therefore, we are interested in
P(attends the dance∣attends the game), which can be denoted in the following way.
P(B∣A)
We will rewrite the formula for the probability of to have a rule for finding the desired conditional probability.
P(A and B)=P(A)⋅P(B∣A)
P(A)P(A and B)=P(B∣A)
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A and B)
We know that
43% of students attend the football game, which corresponds to the probability of event
A.
P(A)=43%⇔P(A)=0.43
We are also told that
23% of students go both to the game and to the dance. Therefore, we can write the probability
P(A and B).
P(A and B)=23% ⇔ P(A and B)=0.23
With this information, we can calculate the
P(B∣A).
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(A and B)
P(B∣A)=0.430.23
P(B∣A)=0.534883…
P(B∣A)≈0.535
P(B∣A)=53.5%
The probability that a student who attended the homecoming football game also attended the game is about
53.5%.