Envision Math 2.0: Grade 8, Volume 1
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Exercise 1 Page 230

Practice makes perfect
We are given a table that presents the ERA (earned run average) and number of wins for starting pitchers in a baseball league.
ERA 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 5
Number of Wins 14 12 10 10 9 7 6 4

Let's construct a scatter plot of the given data. We will treat each ERA and the corresponding number of wins as an ordered pair and draw it in the coordinate plane. We will put the ERA on the x-axis and number of wins on the y-axis.

Let's take a look at the scatter plot we created in Part A.

We can see that the number of wins decreases when the ERA increases. This means that there is a negative association.

First let's draw the trend line that passes through the middle of the plotted points.

Now, let's find the equation of the trend line. To do so we will identify the y-intercept and the slope.
We can see that the y-intercept is about 16.5 and the slope is - 104. By using this information we are able to write an equation of our trend line. y= -10/4x+ 16.5 ⇕ y=-2.5x+16.5 Finally, we want to predict the number of wins of a pitcher with an ERA of 6. To do this, we will substitute 6 for x into our equation.
y=-2.5x+16.5
y=-2.5( 6)+16.5
y=-15+16.5
y=1.5
y≈ 2
We can predict that a pitcher with an ERA of 6 will win about 2 times. Notice that this is only an example solution, because we can draw other trend lines that fit the situation.