Big Ideas Math Geometry, 2014
BI
Big Ideas Math Geometry, 2014 View details
1. Sample Spaces and Probability
Continue to next subchapter

Exercise 17 Page 673

Practice makes perfect
a The sections of the given spinner have the same areas.
We will find the theoretical probability that the spinner stops on a multiple of 3. Recall how to calculate theoretical probability.

Theoretical Probability = Number of Favorable Outcomes/Total Number of Outcomes The favorable outcomes for this exercise are the sections whose numbers are a multiple of 3, and all possible outcomes are all sections of the spinner. Now we can identify the number of the favorable outcomes and the total number of outcomes.

Outcomes Number of Outcomes
Favorable Outcomes 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, and 30 9
All Possible Outcomes 4, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, and 30 10

Now we will write the theoretical probability of stopping on a multiple of 3. P(stopping on a multiple of3) &= 9/10 &=90 % The probability is 910, or 90 %.

b Now we have spun the spinner 30 times. The spinner stops on a multiple of 3 twenty times. Now we will find the experimental probability of stopping on a multiple of 3. Let's recall how to calculate it.
Experimental Probability = Number of Successes/Number of Trials Since we spin the spinner 30 times, our number of trials is 30. Besides this, since the favorable outcome occurs 20 times, our number of successes is 20. We can write the experimental probability with this information.
P(stopping on a multiple of3) = 20/30
P(stopping on a multiple of3) = 2/3
P(stopping on a multiple of3) = 0.66666...
P(stopping on a multiple of3) ≈ 0.67
P(stopping on a multiple of3) ≈ 67 %
The probability is 23, or about 67 %.
c We will explain why the probability that we found in Part B is different from the probability that we found in Part A. To do so let's review the formulas for theoretical probability and experimental probability.
Theoretical Probability Number of favorable outcomes/Total number of outcomes
Experimental Probability Number of successes/Number of trials

We can see that the experimental probability is based on trials, whereas the theoretical probability is based on possible outcomes.